Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Heat Produced: Miami Heat 96, New Orleans Hornets 84

The Heat Produced page has been updated with stats from Monday's game against the New Orleans Hornets.

This article will use Win Score and Estimated Wins Produced, statistical models created by Professor David Berri from the Wages of Wins Journal, to measure how much a player's box score statistics contributed to their team's performance. An average player produces an estimated 0.100 wins per 48 minutes (EWP48), a star player produces 0.200+ EWP48 and a superstar produces 0.300+ EWP48. More information on these stats can be found at the following links:

Dwyane Wade led the Miami Heat to their ninth consecutive victory with some get-back against the Hornets by producing an estimated 0.460 wins with 0.572 EWP48.

The second-most productive player for Miami was Zydrunas Ilgauskas with an estimated 0.167 wins produced and 0.388 EWP48. It was the third time in four games that Ilgauskas produced at a superstar level.

Juwan Howard was the least productive player for the Heat with an estimated -0.089 wins produced and -0.417 EWP48 as he only contributed a steal and two fouls in 10 minutes of playing time.

It was a much different story for the Hornets in Miami than in New Orleans last month. Chris Paul (0.136 EWP48) and Emeka Okafor (0.122 EWP48) were mere mortals in this matchup.

The most productive player for the Hornets was Trevor Ariza, who was more productive than LeBron James with 0.183 EWP48 and an estimated 0.144 wins produced. LeBron had a tough shooting night (despite hitting this incredible shot) and only managed to produce an estimated 0.005 wins with 0.007 EWP48.

The spreadsheet below contains the Wins Produced analysis of the box score for the game against the Hornets. You can also view it at Google Docs (click on the spreadsheet labeled HORNETS-121310).



Unless referenced otherwise, original game data used for this post was taken from popcornmachine.netespn.com and nba.com.

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