Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Heat Produced: Miami 110, San Antonio 80

The Heat Produced Page has been updated with stats from the 30-point blowout of the Spurs.

This article will use Win Score and Estimated Wins Produced, statistical models created by Professor David Berri from the Wages of Wins Journal, to measure how much a player's box score statistics contributed to their team's efficiency differential and wins. An average player produces an estimated 0.100 wins per 48 minutes (EWP48), a star player produces 0.200+ EWP48 and a superstar produces 0.300+ EWP48. More information on these stats can be found at the following links:

This spreadsheet provides the estimated wins produced from the boxscore stats for the Spurs game.

Game notes:

  • The Heat have held opponents' production below average (0.100 est.WP48) in 10 straight quarters: 0.034, -0.140, -0.036, -0.224, 0.004, -0.104, 0.043, -0.159, 0.030, -0.239.
  • Dwyane Wade (0.418 est.WP) and Chris Bosh (0.378 est.WP) were the most productive Heat players.
    • Wade had his eighth-most productive game of the season with 0.418 est. WP. It was the 16th most wins produced by a Heat player this season.
    • Bosh had his third-most productive game of the season with 0.378 est. WP. It was the 29th most wins produced by a Heat player this season.
    • 77% of Bosh's production came at the start of the second quarter with 10 points on perfect shooting, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 steal, no fouls, no turnovers for 0.291 est. WP in the first six-and-a-half minutes of the period.
  • Heat starters have produced more wins in the last two games (2.3 est. WP) than in the five games before them (1.9 est. WP).
  • Spurs sharpshooter Gary Neal had the 13th least productive game by a Heat opponent this season with -0.209 est.WP. In San Antonio, he produced an estimated 0.259 wins and was the second-most productive player for the Spurs. On Monday night, he was the least productive player for the Spurs.

You can find all of the Estimated Wins Produced stats for the Miami Heat this season on the Heat Produced page.

Unless referenced otherwise, original game data used for this post was taken from and

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