Monday, April 11, 2011

Miami Heat Podcast: Beating Boston Celtics and Naming Nominees for the 2011 Heat Awards

The Heat was burning clovers at the American Airlines Arena

Bloggers from the Miami Heat Index and Hot Hot Hoops recapped the Miami Heat's 100-77 blowout of the Boston Celtics and also nominated their choices for the team's Most Valuable Player, Defensive Player of the Year, Rookie of the Year, Most Improved Player, Sixth Man of the Year and Coach of the Year.

Listeners can enjoy the podcast here (with ads), download it from nerdnumbers.comsubscribe to the RSS feed or check it out at iTunes (all without ads).

The Cast:

The Synopsis:
The live broadcast on Ustream started with a discussion of Dwyane Wade and Joel Anthony's defense and the home-court advantage the Miami fans brought to the American Airlines Arena, but that part was accidentally omitted from the podcast. There were also a few technical difficulties podcasting with Fernandez from his car outside the Arena, so apologies in advance.

Celtics-Heat Recap
  • The podcast begins with a discussion of Chris Bosh's impact on the Heat's defense and then moves to a conversation about the best way to protect LeBron James from hard fouls.
  • LeBron was great (again), but will he ever be truly appreciated in Wade County?
  • Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen have been the most productive Celtics vs. the Heat this season, but that wasn't the case on Sunday. The bloggers discuss why.
  • The Celtics big men were terrible.
    • Raptors fans know he's done. Heat fans know he's done. But Danny Ainge didn't know he was done. Jermaine O’Neal's season in Boston has been like a Weekend at Bernie's.
    • Glen "Big Baby" Davis shot 2-8 on shots from outside the paint.
  • The Celtics were screaming at each other in the locker room after the game. Were they crying, too? Fernandez provides the details on the podcast and the video on Hot Hot Hoops.
  • The recap ends with a good laugh at the Celtics' Halloween costumes
2011 Heat Awards
With all the Chicago Bulls hype for post-season awards (e.g. MVP, Coach of the Year and Executive of the Year) the Heat could be locked out, so Martinez and Platt made their nominations for the 2011 Heat awards.

This article will use Win Score and Estimated Wins Produced, statistical models created by Professor David Berri from the Wages of Wins Journal, to measure how much a player's box score statistics contributed to their team's efficiency differential and wins. An average player produces an estimated 0.100 wins per 48 minutes (Est.WP48), a star player produces 0.200+ Est.WP48 and a superstar produces 0.300+ Est.WP48. More information on these stats can be found at the following links:
  • Team MVP - The most valuable player to the team's success this season
    • Martinez, Hot Hot Hoops (HHH) — LeBron James. If you liked the numbers Derrick Rose put up against the Celtics on April 7th, then see HERE.
    • Platt, Miami Heat Index (MHI) — Dwyane Wade. Wade has produced more than 0.300 est.WP48 36 times this season while LeBron has only done that 29 times. Additionally, the fact that Wade plays better with Bosh than LeBron may indicate that he does a better job at "making his teammates better."
  • Team Defensive Player of the Year - Best Heat player on defense this season
    • HHH — LeBron James. The numbers for when he's on and off-the-court were too much to resist.
    • MHI — Chris Bosh. Opposing point guards have shot 43.5% against the Heat this season. Bosh's pick-and-roll defense has a lot to do with that.
  • Team Rookie of the Year - Best player in their first year with the Heat
    • HHH — Chris Bosh. As the only "true" big man on the Heat roster, Bosh had to deliver while sacrificing his game and carrying a huge burden in a system that was very different from the one he played in with the Toronto Raptors.
    • MHI — LeBron James. He's been the most productive player on the team in his first season. 'Nuff said.
  • Most Improved Heat Player - The player that has improved the most from last season to this season
    • HHH — James Jones. His production has increased by 50 percent this season. If the Heat knew what they were going to get from Jones this season, would they have signed Mike Miller or used that five million dollars of cap space on a big man?
    • MHI — Mario Chalmers. He's had the second-biggest increase in production from last season. Does that say more about how poorly he played last season or how well he's played this season?
  • 6th Man of the Year - Who was the best Heat player off the bench?
    • HHH — James Jones. 
    • MHI — Mike. Miller. Despite being a below average shooter this season, Miller has been the more productive player with two estimated wins produced in 818 minutes played for 0.116 est.WP48. Jones has been the better shooter with 60 percent shooting efficiency, but only 1.6 estimated wins produced in 1,477 minutes for 0.053 est.WP48.
  • Coach of the Year - Who was the best member of the Heat coaching staff?
    • HHH — Keith Askins. If you can relax with a few beers the night before a big 23-point blowout of the Celtics, then you're okay with Martinez. 
    • MHI — Erik Spoelstra - Despite some mistakes with the big men rotation, Coach Spo has done a good job juggling the lineups with all of the injuries. If he's actually been holding back strategies for the playoffs, then he's a genius.

This podcast was inspired by E.J. Fischer.

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