Monday, April 25, 2011

Miami Heat Podcast: How the Philadelphia 76ers Extended My Three-Year Curse in the Playoffs

Chris Bosh disappeared like Nightcrawler for most of Game 4
On this week's Miami Heat podcast, my wife and I discussed our trip to Game 4 of the Heat-Sixers series. Topics included our personal Heat curse, trash-talking with Sixers fans, Dwyane Wade, LeBron James, complacency in the fourth quarter, lack of energy on the boards and whether the Sixers won on a lucky shot.

Listeners can enjoy the podcast right here or one of three other ways:

This article will use Win Score and Estimated Wins Produced, statistical models created by Professor David Berri from the Wages of Wins Journal, to measure how much a player's box score statistics contributed to their team's efficiency differential and wins. An average player produces an estimated 0.100 wins per 48 minutes (Est.WP48), a star player produces 0.200+ Est.WP48 and a superstar produces 0.300+ Est.WP48. More information on these stats can be found at the following links:

Simple Models of Player Performance Wins Produced vs. Win Score What Wins Produced Says and What It Does Not Say Introducing PAWSmin — and a Defense of Box Score Statistics

I like nothing better than reviewing the stats while listening to people break down a game, so here is the spreadsheet that provides the estimated wins produced for Game 4 from the box score stats.

This spreadsheet has the estimated wins produced by the Heat for the series.

This spreadsheet has the estimated wins produced by the Sixers for the series.

Heat Produced notes for this game will be posted tomorrow.

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