Friday, May 25, 2012

HEAT Produced: Dwyane Wade Dominated Game 6 to Eliminate the Indiana Pacers

Dwyane Wade had his most productive game of the season to eliminate the Indiana Pacers from the NBA Playoffs and advance the Miami HEAT to the Eastern Conference Finals.

This article uses the Estimated Wins Produced and Win Score stats created by sports economist David Berri to measure player contribution to team wins with data available in the box scores. An average player produces 0.100 est. wins per 48 minutes (est.WP48), star players produce 0.200 est.WP48 and superstars produce 0.300 est.WP48. See the HEAT Produced Page for more info.

Most Productive HEAT Players in Game 6
Dwyane Wade was the most productive HEAT player with 0.4 est. wins produced in 39 minutes (0.523 est.WP48) from 41 points, 68% shooting efficiency, 10 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals and 5 turnovers. As indicated in the table below, he saved his best for last and he saved it for the road, where all 5 of his top performances came this season.

5/24/2012 D Wade 39 0.523 0.425 IND AWAY W
3/30/2012 D Wade 36.2 0.548 0.413 TOR AWAY W
3/23/2012 D Wade 35.8 0.499 0.372 DET AWAY W
5/3/2012 D Wade 36.7 0.469 0.359 NYK AWAY W
1/10/2012 D Wade 36.7 0.501 0.347 GSW AWAY L

LeBron James was the second-most productive HEAT player with 0.3 est. wins produced in 45 minutes (0.294 est.WP48) from 28 points, 52% shooting efficiency, 7 assists, 6 rebounds, 3 steals and just 1 turnover. LeBron and Wade combined for an estimated 89% of the HEAT's win produced in Game 6.

As good as Wade was in Game 6, it doesn't crack the Top 10 performances by a HEAT player this season because LeBron was that dominant during his MVP campaign and especially in this series against the Pacers. Four of LeBron's Top 10 games this season came against the Pacers.

5/20/2012 L James 43.9 0.549 0.502 IND AWAY W
12/28/2011 L James 38.8 0.604 0.489 CHA AWAY W
2/14/2012 L James 33.4 0.676 0.47 IND AWAY W
1/4/2012 L James 37.7 0.599 0.47 IND HOME W
4/4/2012 L James 41.5 0.538 0.465 OKC HOME W
3/1/2012 L James 41 0.544 0.464 POR AWAY W
2/19/2012 L James 36.6 0.602 0.459 ORL HOME W
4/28/2012 L James 31.7 0.686 0.453 NYK HOME W
5/13/2012 L James 43.2 0.501 0.451 IND HOME W
1/22/2012 L James 37.4 0.563 0.439 MIL HOME L

Least Productive HEAT Player in Game 6
Shaved Monkey Nuts aka Shane Battier was the least productive HEAT player in Game 6 with -0.2 est. wins produced in 40 minutes (-0.205 est.WP48) from 2 points, 14% shooting efficiency, just 2 rebounds (playing PF), 2 assists, 1 steal and 3 fouls. It was his third-least productive game this season.

It was obvious before the game that Shaved Monkey Nuts was going to struggle filling in for Udonis Haslem and the HEAT would need Mario Chalmers and Mike Miller to help compensate for his loss. They did that. Chalmers produced 0.134 est.WP48 and Miller produced 0.300 est.WP48 in Game 6.

The spreadsheet below lists the rest of the wins produced stats estimated from the box score for Game 6.

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