Tuesday, June 5, 2012

HEAT Produced: Chris Bosh vs. Kevin Garnett


With Chris Bosh expected to return to the Miami HEAT lineup tonight, what can fans expect from him against Kevin Garnett?


Estimated Wins Produced is a stat created by sports economist David Berri that measures how much a player's stats from the box score contribute to their team's winning. An average player produces an estimated 0.100 wins per 48 minutes (est.WP48). Star players produce 0.200 est.WP48 and great players produce 0.300 est.WP48. See the HEAT Produced Page for more info.

If it was just about history and not health, then HEAT fans could expect Bosh to outplay KG in Game 5. Bosh has been more productive than KG in 7 of their 12 matchups since he joined the HEAT. The tables below list the estimated wins produced by Bosh in each HEAT-Celtics game against KG.


BOSH VS. KG IN 2011
WHEN PLAYER MINS WP48 WP OPP LOC RESULT
10/26/2010 C Bosh 37.6 -0.056 -0.044 BOS AWAY L
11/11/2010 C Bosh 35.5 0.07 0.052 BOS HOME L
2/13/2011 C Bosh 41.2 0.295 0.253 BOS AWAY L
4/10/2011 C Bosh 31.8 0.11 0.073 BOS HOME W
5/1/2011 C Bosh 37.3 0.068 0.053 BOS HOME W
5/3/2011 C Bosh 38.8 0.52 0.42 BOS HOME W
5/7/2011 C Bosh 30.3 -0.223 -0.141 BOS AWAY L
5/9/2011 C Bosh 45 0.373 0.35 BOS AWAY W
5/11/2011 C Bosh 40.4 0.259 0.218 BOS HOME W


KG VS. BOSH IN 2011
WHEN PLAYER TEAM MINS WP48 WP
10/26/2010 K Garnett BOS 35.2 -0.069 -0.051
11/11/2010 K Garnett BOS 37 0.45 0.347
2/13/2011 K Garnett BOS 35.7 0.037 0.028
4/10/2011 K Garnett BOS 34.4 0.092 0.066
5/1/2011 K Garnett BOS 37.2 0.187 0.145
5/3/2011 K Garnett BOS 37.1 -0.111 -0.086
5/7/2011 K Garnett BOS 37.8 0.731 0.575
5/9/2011 K Garnett BOS 41.3 0.11 0.095
5/11/2011 K Garnett BOS 38.2 0.113 0.09


BOSH VS. KG IN 2012
WHEN PLAYER MINS WP48 WP OPP LOC RESULT
12/27/2011 C Bosh 37.1 0.335 0.259 BOS HOME W
4/10/2012 C Bosh 38.1 -0.012 -0.01 BOS HOME L
4/1/2012 C Bosh 30.8 -0.112 -0.072 BOS AWAY L


KG VS. BOSH IN 2012
WHEN PLAYER OPP MINS WP48 WP LOC RESULT
12/27/2011 K Garnett BOS 32.6 0.172 0.117 HOME W
4/1/2012 K Garnett BOS 29.9 0.198 0.123 AWAY L
4/10/2012 K Garnett BOS 33.3 0.226 0.157 HOME L

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