Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Chris Bosh: 2012 Season Review

Chris Bosh's top plays, performances, stats and splits from the 2012 season.

Miami HEAT Index is reviewing each HEAT player's performance in the 2012 season, from the most productive to the least productive. LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Mario Chalmers were the first three reviewed. The fourth review is Bosh.

This analysis uses Estimated Wins Produced, a statistic created by sports economist David Berri. Since an average team's winning percentage is 0.500, an average player produces 0.100 est. wins per 48 minutes (est.WP48). A star player produces 0.200 est.WP48 and great players produce 0.300 est.WP48. See the HEAT Produced Page for more information on Est. Wins Produced.

Season Analysis
Bosh finished 4th on the HEAT with an est. 5.2 wins produced in the 2012 regular season (0.125 est.WP48) from 24.5 points, 82% free throw shooting on 6.7 attempts, 8.6 defensive rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.2 steals and 3.1 fouls per 48 minutes. 

Bosh produced an estimated 12% of the HEAT's wins in the regular season and 9.6% of the wins in the playoffs (1.5 est. wins produced).

Top 10 Games
Eight of Bosh's 10 most productive games from the 2012 season were at home, but his most productive game came on the road against the Pistons during the HEAT's January run #WithoutWade. Bosh produced an est. 0.4 wins in 36.6 minutes (0.568 est.WP48) from 27 points on 83% shooting efficiency, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, 1 steal and 3 fouls.

Bosh saved his most productive playoff game for last - Game 5 of the NBA Finals. He produced an est. 0.3 wins in 34.4 minutes (0.465 est.WP48) from 24 points on 68% shooting efficiency, 5-5 free throw shooting, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 steal and 1 foul. It was the cherry on top of Bosh outplaying the OKC big men in the Finals.

The HEAT were 10-0 in Bosh's most productive games last season.

The spreadsheet below lists Bosh's production in every game from the 2012 season, sorted by est. wins produced.

Bosh was most productive last season against lottery teams and in games the HEAT won.

Against lottery teams, Bosh produced an est. 3.5 wins in 798.9 minutes (0.208 est.WP48) from 27.5 points on 54% shooting efficiency, 86% free throw shooting on 7.5 attempts, 10.8 rebounds, 3.1 assists, 2.8 turnovers, 1.3 steals, 1.1 blocks and 2.9 fouls per 48 minutes.

In games the HEAT won, Bosh produced an est. 7.2 wins in 1,790.3 minutes (0.193 est.WP48) from 25.5 points on 52% shooting efficiency, 85% free throw shooting on 6.5 attempts, 11.7 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 2.5 turnovers, 1.3 steals, 1.3 blocks and 2.9 fouls per 48 minutes.

Below is a list of Bosh's best splits from last season in every category of the box score (all stats per 48 minutes):
  • Minutes: 1,790.3 in wins
  • Est.WP48: 0.319 in 1st quarter vs. lottery teams
  • Est. WP: 7.2 in wins
  • Plus/minus: +621 in wins
  • Shooting efficiency: 58% in 1st quarter vs. lottery teams
  • Shot attempts: 24.4 in 1st quarter vs. lottery teams
  • Free throw shooting: 94% in 2nd quarters at home
  • Free throw attempts: 10.3 in 4th quarter of back-to-back games
  • Points: 33.6 in 1st quarter vs. lottery teams
  • Offensive rebounds: 4.3 in 2nd quarters vs. playoff teams
  • Defensive rebounds: 11.6 in 3rd quarters on the road
  • Total rebounds: 13.1 in 3rd quarters on the road
  • Steals: 2.7 in 1st quarter vs. lottery teams
  • Turnovers: 1.8 in 3rd quarter of wins
  • Blocks: 2.4 in 3rd quarters on the road
  • Assists: 4.2 in 1st quarter of back-to-back games
  • Fouls: 1.6 in 2nd quarter of losses

The spreadsheet below lists all the splits from last season for Bosh.

Next up: "The Warden"... Joel Anthony

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