Monday, April 29, 2013

HEAT Produced: Ray Allen Was Most Productive Player in 1st Round Sweep



LeBron James said this is the most efficient he's ever played in his career, but Ray Allen was more efficient and productive sweeping the Bucks.

This article uses the Estimated Wins Produced statistic created by sports economist David Berri. Average players increase a team's chance of winning 10% by producing 0.100 Estimated Wins per 48 minutes (Est.WP48) because an average NBA team produces a 0.500 winning percentage. See the HEAT Produced Page for more information.

Most Productive HEAT Players
Allen led the HEAT in the 1st round of the playoffs with an estimated 0.8 wins produced for the series and 0.324 est.WP48. His performance was above average in every category except steals, blocks and assists. Allen was the 2nd-most productive HEAT player in Game 4. He increased the team's chance of winning by 26% with 16 points, 4 threes, 70% shooting efficiency and 7 rebounds.

LeBron finished 2nd on the HEAT with an estimated 0.7 wins produced in the sweep and 0.229 est.WP48. His performance was above average in every category except free throw shooting, offensive rebounds, steals and turnovers. LeBron was the most productive HEAT player in Game 4. He increased the team's chance of winning by 27% with 30 points on 65% shooting efficiency, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, 5 turnovers, 3 steals, 1 block and 3 fouls.

Least Productive HEAT Players
Every player in head coach Erik Spoelstra's nine-man rotation provided above average production in the series except one - Shaved Monkey Nuts (Shane Battier). He produced -0.4 estimated wins and his performance was below average in every category except turnovers.

Rashard Lewis wasn't part of the rotation against the Bucks but due to Wade's injury he got 8 minutes of playing time in Game 4. He was the least productive HEAT player in the game and decreased the team's chance of winning by 14% with poor shooting (1-5 from the floor, 0-3 from the arc), 1 turnover and 1 foul in 8 minutes.

Series Stats
The spreadsheet below lists the wins produced stats for the HEAT estimated from the box scores for the series against the Bucks.



The spreadsheet below lists the wins produced stats for the Bucks estimated from the box scores for the series.



Game 4 Stats
The spreadsheet below lists the wins produced estimated from the box score for Game 4.



No comments:

Post a Comment

Post a Comment