Thursday, July 11, 2013

HEAT Summer League: The High Rise of Eric Griffin



Eric Griffin, a dunker and shot-blocker with crazy hops from Campbell University, came out of nowhere to posterize Pistons center Andre Drummond and make a name for himself on the HEAT summer league team in Orlando.

This article uses the Estimated Wins Produced statistic created by sports economist David Berri. Average players increase a team's chance of winning 10% by producing 0.100 Estimated Wins per 40 minutes (Est.WP40) because an average NBA team produces a 0.500 winning percentage. See the HEAT Produced Page for more information.

Most Productive Players
Eric Griffin was the most productive HEAT player against the Pistons. He increased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 32% with 10 points, 0 missed shots, 5 rebounds, 3 steals, 1 block and 3 fouls in 19 minutes for 0.674 est.WP40. Griffin's big game propelled him from the 7th most productive HEAT player in the Orlando Summer League after 3 games to the 2nd most productive player after 4 games.

2013 HEAT SUMMER LEAGUE SUMMARY
PLAYER GP MIN Est.WP40 Est.WP
J. Ennis 4 98.8 0.232 0.573
E. Griffin 3 46.6 0.353 0.411
I. Clark 4 104.7 0.128 0.336
C. Jackson 3 64.4 0.205 0.330
J. Varnado 4 105.7 0.120 0.316
M. Dunigan 3 49.0 0.108 0.132
S. Hopson 3 66.2 0.076 0.125
J. Carmichael 2 21.3 0.171 0.091
D. Stephens 3 33.3 0.101 0.084
D. Kennedy 3 54.5 -0.014 -0.019
J. Nunnally 2 26.8 -0.036 -0.024
M. Kabongo 3 48.5 -0.051 -0.062
V. Council 3 45.0 -0.085 -0.095
D. Dedmon 3 35.6 -0.125 -0.111

Ian Clark was the 2nd most productive HEAT player against the Pistons. He increased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 19% with a team-high 15 points, 58% shooting efficiency, 4 rebounds, 2 assists, 4 turnovers, 1 steal and 1 foul in a team-high 27 minutes for 0.284 est.WP40. Clark has played more minutes than James Ennis, the HEAT's 2nd round draft pick, so the HEAT are clearly interested in him. I think that interest should translate into a training camp invitation. We'll see what Pat Riley thinks in October.

Players to Watch
Here's how the other players to watch highlighted in the Summer League Preview produced in the 4th game at Orlando:
  • Andre Drummond dominated the highlights but was only the 3rd most productive Pistons player in the game because he shot less than 50% from the floor. If he develops a go-to move in the post, he will be damn near unstoppable next season. Rasheed Wallace has some work to do. The most productive Pistons players were their 2 draft picks: Peyton Siva (0.513 est.WP40) and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (0.195 est.WP40).
  • Vincent Council (guard from Providence) decreased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 3% with 0 points and 0-3 shooting in 12 minutes. He's been the least productive guard for the HEAT in summer league.
  • Dewayne Dedmon (center from USC) did not play after starting the last 2 games. He's been the least productive HEAT player in the Orlando Summer League.
  • Michael Dunigan (center from Oregon) decreased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 1% with only 2 rebounds in 16 minutes plus 2 fouls and 1 turnover.
  • Cedric Jackson (guard from Cleveland State) increased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 10% with 5 points, 2-3 shooting, 6 rebounds, 3 assists, 7 turnovers, 2 steals and 2 fouls in 16 minutes. Jackson's ties with Norris Cole make an emotional case for a training camp invitation but his 38% shooting efficiency and 7.5 turnovers per 40 minutes make a case to not invite him even though he's been the 4th-most productive HEAT player in summer league so far.
  • Myck Kabongo (guard from Texas) decreased the HEAT chance of winning by an estimated 11% with 0 points, 0-2 shooting from the floor, 0-4 shooting from the free throw line and 1 turnover in 12 minutes.

The spreadsheet below lists the wins produced stats estimated for all players from the boxscore of the Orlando Summer League game against the Pistons.



Original data from nba.com.

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